Il gioco del poker alla texana o texas hold’em poker giocato online su o nei casinò reali ha sempre a che vedere con importanti concetti di probabilità e calcolo dell’opportunitá di giocata in funzione del denaro in palio. Come dice il famoso Teorema di Sklansky: se giochiamo come se potessimo vedere le carte degli avversari, vinceremo, altrimenti perdremo. Conoscere probabilitá e Odds e Pot Odds è di fondamentale importanza.
Probabilitá nel texas hold’em poker: la probabilitá e’ il calcolo delle possibilitá che esca una determinata carta. Si ottiene dividendo le possibilitá contro tutte le carte giocabili. Se ci serve 1 di 6 carte, la probabilitá è del 16% o dello 0,16.
Odds: gli odds è il calcolo delle possibilitá che accada qualcosa. Nel poker alla texana, che escano le carte desiderate per completare i giochi in mano. Si esprime, riferendosi ancora all’esempio precedente in termini di un rapporto, come quello di 1:5 ovvero una possibilitá contro 5 che esca il gioco desiderato, essendo le carte o possiiblitá considerate, 6.
Texas hold’em Pot Odds. Il calcolo del Pot Odds sono gli Odds valutati in relazione al denaro in palio. In poche parole, dovete confrontare le probabilitá di ottenere il gioco con il rapporto di vincita. Tornando all’esempio di prima, si hanno 5 possibilitá contro 1 che esca il gioco desiderato. Poniamo che sul tavolo vi siano giá 200€ e il vostro avversario punta 10€. Il che equivale a dire che se voi puntate 10€ potete vincerne 200€. E’ un rapporto di 1 a 20 no?
Ecco, 1/5 è sicuramente maggiore di 1/20 per cui vi conviene giocare. I pot odds vi sono a favore. Niente di più semplice, no?
E ora, tutti a mettere in pratica porbabilitá, odds e pot odds nel poker online!
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